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Tuareg Rebels Escalate Offensive, Warn Mali Junta “Will Fall”

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Tuareg rebels in Mali have issued a stark warning that the country’s military government will eventually collapse, following a wave of coordinated s described as the most intense in nearly 15 years. The offensive, carried out over the weekend, targeted key positions held by the ruling junta and its Russian allied forces.

A spokesman for the Azawad Liberation Front said the group intends to expand its control across northern Mali, signaling a prolonged and dangerous phase in the country’s ongoing conflict. The clashes have drawn in not only separatist forces but also jihadist fighters linked to the Group for the Support of Islam and Muslims, highlighting a rare alignment of interests against a common enemy.

Mali’s junta leader, Assimi Goita, addressed the nation after days out of public view, acknowledging the gravity of the situation while insisting it remains under control. However, reports from affected regions suggest the military is under severe pressure, with some positions already abandoned.

The violence has spread across strategic مناطق including Kidal, Gao, Mopti and areas near the capital Bamako. The capture of Kidal marks a significant symbolic and tactical gain for the rebels, who have long sought independence for the northern territory known as Azawad.

The conflict also claimed the life of Defence Minister Sadio Camara, a key architect of Mali’s shift toward Russian military support. His death represents a major blow to the junta’s leadership structure at a critical time.

Since 2012, Mali has struggled with inility fueled by jihadist insurgencies, separatist movements and weak governance. The recent withdrawal of Russian linked forces, including the Wagner Group’s transition into Africa Corps, has further complicated the security landscape.

Despite differing long term goals, both the separatists and jihadist factions appear united in their opposition to the current regime. Analysts warn that this alliance could significantly alter the balance of power in the Sahel region if the conflict continues to escalate.

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