On Tuesday, October 15, 2024, Nigerians were met with a startling announcement. The World Bank’s Senior Vice President, Indermit Gill, declared in Abuja that President Bola Tinubu‘s economic reforms would require 10 to 15 years to significantly transform Nigeria‘s economy. He advised the Federal Government to persist with these reforms despite the current challenges facing the nation.
Speaking at the Nigeria Economic Summit, Gill emphasized that Nigeria’s oil wealth, meant for the benefit of all citizens, had long served only a select few elites. While he acknowledged that these elites are now affected by the reforms initiated last year, he noted that they had previously built substantial financial buffers. However, he expressed concern that ordinary Nigerians were facing even greater hardships, compounded by past policies. He urged Nigeria to “stay the course” for the next decade or more, arguing that despite the difficulties, the potential rewards were substantial.
This message from the World Bank did not sit well with many Nigerians, who rejected the suggestion outright. Citizens from various walks of life warned President Tinubu that adhering to the World Bank’s advice could lead to mass unrest. They argued that the institution’s recommendations have historically failed to deliver sustainable economic growth, prosperity, or improved living standards in Nigeria and other countries.
Prominent Nigerian academic, Professor Moses Ochonu of Vanderbilt University, voiced a stark warning. He cautioned that Nigeria might be on the brink of a societal breakdown due to the prolonged suffering caused by these reforms. Professor Ochonu stated that enduring another 10-15 years of hardship was “humanly impossible” and that it could lead to a severe backlash. He highlighted the dire choice facing Nigerians: slow death by hunger or heroic death through social upheaval. He urged President Tinubu to change course and avoid this predicted catastrophe.
Ochonu also criticized the World Bank’s approach, describing it as a pattern of imposing harmful reforms on developing nations whose leaders rely on loans to sustain mismanaged budgets. He argued that this dependency allows the World Bank, a distant and indifferent institution, to dictate policies that exacerbate poverty rather than alleviate it.
The tension in Nigeria is palpable as citizens call on their leaders to reconsider these economic policies and prioritize the well-being of the people over international prescriptions that seem out of touch with the daily struggles of ordinary Nigerians.
